SH
Sotera Health Co (SHC)·Q1 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q1 2025 delivered mid-single-digit revenue growth and double-digit Adjusted EBITDA growth on a constant currency basis; Adjusted EPS was $0.14 and GAAP EPS was -$0.05 due to a $30.9M EO settlement charge .
- Revenue and Adjusted EPS both beat Wall Street consensus; revenue $254.5M vs $245.8M*, Adjusted EPS $0.14 vs $0.122*, and Adjusted EBITDA $121.8M vs $113.6M*; guidance reaffirmed with improved FX headwind assumptions (net revenue headwind cut to ~1.25% from 2.25%) . Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Segment performance: Sterigenics grew on pricing (+4.1% pricing) with margin expansion; Nordion benefited from shipment timing; Nelson Labs’ margins expanded 479 bps YoY despite revenue headwinds in expert advisory services .
- Catalysts: continued Sterigenics volume recovery, Nelson Labs margin trajectory toward 30s, and FX tailwinds; legal overhang managed via settlements and confident defense narrative; capex trajectory set to decline to ~$110M by 2027 to drive $500–$600M FCF over 3 years .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
- What Went Well
- “We met or exceeded our expectations across each of our lines of business to deliver mid-single-digit top line growth and double-digit bottom line growth on a constant currency basis” .
- Nelson Labs margin expansion of 479 bps YoY driven by pricing and lab optimization; management reiterated a path to low-to-mid-30s margin target .
- FX headwind assumptions improved for FY25 (net revenue headwind ~1.25% vs 2.25%; Adjusted EBITDA headwind ~1.5% vs 2.5%), and revolver amended +$176M capacity to $600M, extended to 2030, strengthening liquidity .
- What Went Wrong
- GAAP net loss of $13.3M (-$0.05 EPS) driven by $30.9M Illinois EO litigation settlement; signals ongoing legal expense drag despite operational strength .
- Nelson Labs revenue declined 9.3% YoY on reduced expert advisory services, partially offsetting core testing improvements .
- Nordion’s stronger Q1 from shipment timing likely shifts volume out of Q2, adding quarterly volatility to segment reported metrics .
Financial Results
Segment breakdown (Revenue and Segment Income):
KPIs (Q1 2025):
Vs Wall Street consensus (Q1 2025):
Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
Guidance Changes
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- “We met or exceeded our expectations… to deliver mid-single-digit top line growth and double-digit bottom line growth on a constant currency basis” — Michael Petras, CEO .
- “Revenue came in higher than expected as some Cobalt-60 shipments originally scheduled for Q2 2025 occurred in Q1” — Jonathan Lyons, CFO .
- “We do not expect the current tariff policies to have a material impact on our business… Cobalt-60 is exempt from tariffs under the USMCA” — Michael Petras .
- “Nelson Labs… margin expansion… continued progress towards our low to mid-30s margin target” — Michael Petras .
- “We successfully closed an amendment to our revolving credit facility [to $600M]… extending maturity to April 2030” — Jonathan Lyons .
Q&A Highlights
- Tariffs: Management reiterated minimal impact; Nordion’s Canada→US Co-60 flows exempt under USMCA; some minor direct/indirect items not material .
- Sterigenics volumes: Continued recovery expected across 2025; bioprocessing sequential and YoY growth albeit small portion of mix .
- Nelson Labs margins: Drivers include regulatory-driven demand (e.g., USP 665), price discipline, stable labor, and lab optimization; path to 30s margin reiterated .
- Legal strategy: Confident in defense when science is central; Illinois settlement charge booked; uptick in California case count noted; no active litigation in NC/TX .
- FX and quarterly cadence: Nordion shipment timing boosted Q1; margin improvement through 2025 to be led by Nelson; one fewer selling day in Q1 .
- Capex/FCF: Capex expected to decline toward ~$110M by 2027, enabling $500–$600M FCF over next 3 years (no M&A assumed) .
Estimates Context
- Q1 2025 results vs consensus: Revenue $254.5M vs $245.8M*, Adjusted EPS $0.14 vs $0.122*, Adjusted EBITDA $121.8M vs $113.6M*; all beats. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Forward quarters: Street models mid-teens to mid-20s EPS per quarter and ~$300M revenue prints into late 2025*, consistent with mid-single-digit growth narrative and improving FX. Values retrieved from S&P Global*.
- Potential estimate revisions: FX headwind improvement and Nelson margin trajectory likely support upward bias to EBITDA/EPS; shipment timing at Nordion may reallocate quarter-by-quarter revenue but not change full-year .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Reaffirmed FY25 guidance with better FX assumptions is constructive; underscores operational resilience despite legal charges .
- Sterigenics volume recovery and firm pricing (~4%) support margin mix; watch for continued sequential improvement as the year progresses .
- Nelson Labs’ margin expansion is becoming a trend; execution toward low-to-mid 30s margin is a medium-term value driver .
- Nordion’s revenue timing can create quarterly noise; management’s full-year outlook and minimal Russia supply risk (~0–2%) mitigate structural concerns .
- Liquidity strengthened via revolver amendment to $600M and maturity extension to 2030; deleveraging and declining capex path set up $500–$600M FCF over 3 years .
- Legal overhang persists but is being actively managed; GAAP volatility from settlements remains a headline risk despite steady non-GAAP performance .
- Trading setup: near-term catalysts include Sterigenics volume trajectory and Nelson Labs margins; improved FX and reaffirmed guide reduce downside risk, while any regulatory/legal developments (EO/NESHAP) could drive volatility .
Notes: All periods and figures cited from company documents; estimates marked with * are from S&P Global and may reflect consensus methodologies that differ from company non-GAAP definitions.